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IOTA is a revolutionary new transaction settlement and data transfer layer for the Internet of Things (IoT). It is based on a new distributed ledger technology, the Tangle, which overcomes the inefficiencies of current Blockchain designs and introduces a new way of reaching consensus in a decentralized peer-to-peer system. Using IOTA, for the first time ever, people and machines can transfer money and/or data without any transaction fees in a trustless, permissionless, and decentralized environment. This means that even nano-payments are possible without the need for a trusted intermediary of any kind... In this paper we analyze the mathematical foundations of IOTA, a cryptocurrency for the Internet-of-Things (IoT) industry. The main feature of this novel cryptocurrency is the tangle, a directed acyclic graph (DAG) for storing transactions. The tangle naturally succeeds the blockchain as its next revolutionary step, and offers features that are required to establish a machineto-machine micropayment system. An essential contribution of this paper is a family of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. These algorithms select attachment sites on the tangle for a transaction that has just arrived .IOTA was launched in 13/06/2017. It uses the Quantum Resistant Directed Acyllic Graph method of consensus, and is based on the N/A algorithm. IOTA's goals include IOTA offers infinite scalability using quantum-resistant DAG and zero fees. IOTA aims to set itself apart from other cryptocurrencies due to Protocol is a directed acyclic graph (DAG) called the tangle instead of the traditional blockchain. Where a blockchain is a linked list where every block points to a unique descendant, in the tangle, a block links to two previous blocks.

It's impossible to predict for sure if IOTA is due for a crash or is headed to the moon, but this is what we do know:

- In the past 7 days IOTA has risen by 3.41%
- In the past month it has gained 3.4572679434173%
- In total it has fallen in value by $-0.0955005999 since its inception, a change of 85.04%

In order for IOTA to reach $1.00 it needs to increase in price by a factor of 1.84x. Given its present growth rate of 3.46% per month, it could take just 2.9 months to hit a price target of $1 USD#### What is the probability of hitting $1.00 over time?

These probabilities are an illustration based on a Monte Carlo simulation, calculated on the past 30 days historical volatility. We make no claim for real world accuracy

Time period | Chance final price > $1 | Chance final price < $1 |
---|---|---|

1 week | 0% | 100% |

1 month | 0% | 100% |

3 months | 0% | 100% |

6 months | 0% | 100% |

1 year | 0% | 100% |

2 years | 0% | 100% |

3 years | 0% | 100% |

4 years | 0% | 100% |

5 years | 0% | 100% |

In order for IOTA to reach $5.00 it needs to increase in price by a factor of 9.21x. Given its present growth rate of 3.46% per month, it could take just 10.6 months to hit a price target of $5 USD#### What is the probability of hitting $5.00 over time?

These probabilities are an illustration based on a Monte Carlo simulation, calculated on the past 30 days historical volatility. We make no claim for real world accuracy

Time period | Chance final price > $5 | Chance final price < $5 |
---|---|---|

1 week | 0% | 100% |

1 month | 0% | 100% |

3 months | 0% | 100% |

6 months | 0% | 100% |

1 year | 0% | 100% |

2 years | 0% | 100% |

3 years | 0% | 100% |

4 years | 0% | 100% |

5 years | 0% | 100% |

In order for IOTA to reach $10.00 it needs to increase in price by a factor of 18.42x. Given its present growth rate of 3.46% per month, it could take just 1.2 years to hit a price target of $10 USD#### What is the probability of hitting $10.00 over time?

These probabilities are an illustration based on a Monte Carlo simulation, calculated on the past 30 days historical volatility. We make no claim for real world accuracy

Time period | Chance final price > $10 | Chance final price < $10 |
---|---|---|

1 week | 0% | 100% |

1 month | 0% | 100% |

3 months | 0% | 100% |

6 months | 0% | 100% |

1 year | 0% | 100% |

2 years | 0% | 100% |

3 years | 0% | 100% |

4 years | 0% | 100% |

5 years | 0% | 100% |

In order for IOTA to reach $15.00 it needs to increase in price by a factor of 27.62x. Given its present growth rate of 3.46% per month, it could take just 1.3 years to hit a price target of $15 USD#### What is the probability of hitting $15.00 over time?

These probabilities are an illustration based on a Monte Carlo simulation, calculated on the past 30 days historical volatility. We make no claim for real world accuracy

Time period | Chance final price > $15 | Chance final price < $15 |
---|---|---|

1 week | 0% | 100% |

1 month | 0% | 100% |

3 months | 0% | 100% |

6 months | 0% | 100% |

1 year | 0% | 100% |

2 years | 0% | 100% |

3 years | 0% | 100% |

4 years | 0% | 100% |

5 years | 0% | 100% |

In order for IOTA to reach $25.00 it needs to increase in price by a factor of 46.04x. Given its present growth rate of 3.46% per month, it could take just 1.5 years to hit a price target of $25 USD#### What is the probability of hitting $25.00 over time?

These probabilities are an illustration based on a Monte Carlo simulation, calculated on the past 30 days historical volatility. We make no claim for real world accuracy

Time period | Chance final price > $25 | Chance final price < $25 |
---|---|---|

1 week | 0% | 100% |

1 month | 0% | 100% |

3 months | 0% | 100% |

6 months | 0% | 100% |

1 year | 0% | 100% |

2 years | 0% | 100% |

3 years | 0% | 100% |

4 years | 0% | 100% |

5 years | 0% | 100% |

In order for IOTA to reach $50.00 it needs to increase in price by a factor of 92.08x. Given its present growth rate of 3.46% per month, it could take just 1.8 years to hit a price target of $50 USD#### What is the probability of hitting $50.00 over time?

These probabilities are an illustration based on a Monte Carlo simulation, calculated on the past 30 days historical volatility. We make no claim for real world accuracy

Time period | Chance final price > $50 | Chance final price < $50 |
---|---|---|

1 week | 0% | 100% |

1 month | 0% | 100% |

3 months | 0% | 100% |

6 months | 0% | 100% |

1 year | 0% | 100% |

2 years | 0% | 100% |

3 years | 0% | 100% |

4 years | 0% | 100% |

5 years | 0% | 100% |

In order for IOTA to reach $100.00 it needs to increase in price by a factor of 184.16x. Given its present growth rate of 3.46% per month, it could take just 2.1 years to hit a price target of $100 USD#### What is the probability of hitting $100.00 over time?

These probabilities are an illustration based on a Monte Carlo simulation, calculated on the past 30 days historical volatility. We make no claim for real world accuracy

Time period | Chance final price > $100 | Chance final price < $100 |
---|---|---|

1 week | 0% | 100% |

1 month | 0% | 100% |

3 months | 0% | 100% |

6 months | 0% | 100% |

1 year | 0% | 100% |

2 years | 0% | 100% |

3 years | 0% | 100% |

4 years | 0% | 100% |

5 years | 0% | 100% |

In order for IOTA to reach $200.00 it needs to increase in price by a factor of 368.32x. Given its present growth rate of 3.46% per month, it could take just 2.3 years to hit a price target of $200 USD#### What is the probability of hitting $200.00 over time?

These probabilities are an illustration based on a Monte Carlo simulation, calculated on the past 30 days historical volatility. We make no claim for real world accuracy

Time period | Chance final price > $200 | Chance final price < $200 |
---|---|---|

1 week | 0% | 100% |

1 month | 0% | 100% |

3 months | 0% | 100% |

6 months | 0% | 100% |

1 year | 0% | 100% |

2 years | 0% | 100% |

3 years | 0% | 100% |

4 years | 0% | 100% |

5 years | 0% | 100% |

In order for IOTA to reach $300.00 it needs to increase in price by a factor of 552.48x. Given its present growth rate of 3.46% per month, it could take just 2.5 years to hit a price target of $300 USD#### What is the probability of hitting $300.00 over time?

These probabilities are an illustration based on a Monte Carlo simulation, calculated on the past 30 days historical volatility. We make no claim for real world accuracy

Time period | Chance final price > $300 | Chance final price < $300 |
---|---|---|

1 week | 0% | 100% |

1 month | 0% | 100% |

3 months | 0% | 100% |

6 months | 0% | 100% |

1 year | 0% | 100% |

2 years | 0% | 100% |

3 years | 0% | 100% |

4 years | 0% | 100% |

5 years | 0% | 100% |

No, it is not a 'good investment' to buy IOTA, and given the market volatility it is certainly not safe either. We would urge you to not to consider buying or trading IOTA as an investment but purely speculation.

It is certainly possible to profit from an increase in the value of MIOTA - and if you short the coin you might even profit from a crash in the market.

However with so much uncertainty in the market the best you can do is make an educated guess as to the direction of the price or the mood of the market. If you're not informed on the fundamentals that's pretty close to a gamble.

Remember, **your capital is at risk.**. Trading conditions can change at any time without prior notice. Buying, holding or trading is a high risk activity that may incur significant losses over a short period of time

There are 14 developers coding the source behind IOTA There are no sales or marketing staff on the team which could impede the coin's growth.

IOTA publishes bios of all of its team members at their website which can help investors understand the motivations and people behind the project

The team for IOTA is lead by David Sønstebø,

The team is not active on the social media channels, which can be a troubling sign. Their blog is updated regularly with news and information on IOTA's development

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